Presa de limba germana despre alegerile din Romania
Presa germana, dar si cea austriaca sau elvetiana, este mai mult decat
rezervata fata de rezultatul final al scrutinului prezidential din
Süddeutsche Zeitung - alaturi de Frankfurter Allgemeine, cel mai
serios cotidian de mare tiraj din Germania-, abordeaza azi in doua
articole alegerile din 6 decembrie. Unul dintre articole, semnat de
Klaus Brill suna:" Uns liegen Beweise für Betrug vor" se refera pe larg
la manipulari de voturi, la celebrul "turism electoral", etc. Acest
cotidian este apropiat cercurilor guvernamentale germane. Celalalt
articol, un comentariu la tema, iar nu este prea magulitor pentru
Situatia in care se afla Romania nu este de invidiat, cu atat mai mult
cu cat si criza economica, care a afectat deja atat de mult tara, este
departe de a se fi terminat. Principalii indicatori ai economiei
Germaniei sunt, din nou, in scadere masiva. In Marea Britanie situtatia
pare a fi similara.
In presa suedeza se spune ca OSCE sta in expectativa ca de altfel cam toate statele UE si chiar si USA.
December 8, 2009
Incumbent Re-elected as Romanian President By NICHOLAS KULISH
BUCHAREST, Romania — President Traian Basescu narrowly won re-election on Monday, and with it the chance to try to lead Romania out of its economic woes, despite deep political polarization that has stymied efforts to combat the crisis.
Mr. Basescu won a second five-year term by less than a percentage
point, beating back a stiff challenge from the Social Democratic
candidate, Mircea Geoana, a former foreign minister. Election officials
reported that Mr. Basescu, of the Democratic Liberal Party, had won
50.33 percent, compared with 49.66 percent for his opponent.
Supporters of Mr. Geoana, who on Sunday night stood before a
cheering crowd and declared victory, have already charged that the
election was marred by fraud. "We will begin the procedure to contest
the result of the election," said Liviu Dragnea, general secretary of
the Social Democrats.
The incumbent's victory in essence put this troubled country of 22
million back where it was in October, when the government fell in a
no-confidence vote in the grip of recession and political paralysis.
Analysts said they feared that political gridlock would continue.
"A perfectly divided Romania, facing the crisis, this is the story,"
said Dorel Sandor, director of the Center for Political Studies and
Comparative Analysis in Bucharest, the capital. "All we did was lose
time, more than two months, waiting for after the election."
And if the parties are unable to come to terms over a new
government, early parliamentary elections might add to the instability.
Mr. Basescu has to ask Parliament to submit proposals for a new
prime minister. Without a government, Parliament has been unable to
pass a budget for 2010, an important step in negotiations with the International Monetary Fund over a $30 billion aid package to help Romania weather the economic crisis.
"I see a period of continued political instability, and
unfortunately this will delay actions which would secure I.M.F. funding
and which would create a foundation for future potential growth," said
Matei Paun, managing partner at BAC Investment Banking in Bucharest.
"No one's minding the store economically. That's been the problem for
six months now."
Many Romanian factories have been idled as the recession reduced
demand. At the same time, some of the estimated 2.5 million or more
Romanians working abroad in countries like Italy and Spain lost their
jobs and were forced to come home. A temporary freeze on state-sector
salary increases led to protests and strikes.
Mr. Geoana, the challenger, ran a campaign promising to restore
stability, announcing a deal with the Liberals to form a new government
if he won, and promising to name a popular independent politician, Klaus Johannis, as prime minister. He was favored heading into Sunday's vote, after leading in the final opinion surveys.
But it was the pugnacious incumbent who pulled out the victory. Mr.
Basescu, a former ship captain, has made few friends in the political
establishment with a tough governing style. He survived an impeachment
attempt in 2007, winning a referendum intended by opponents to oust him.
Mr. Basescu, the former mayor of Bucharest, came to power five years
ago promising to fight corruption. He has enjoyed successes in his
term, in particular Romania's entry into the European Union in 2007.
ING sees leu sinking because of early elections
Early elections in Romania which could be brought forth by delays in
forming a new government could weaken the domestic currency leu to
around 4.5-4.6 units per Euro, from the current 4.2, and delay foreign
aid beyond March 2010, according to a report from ING Bank released
The outcome of the presidential elections held on December 6, which looks likely to be
narrow victory for incumbent president Traian Basescu, could trigger a
negative reaction on the financial market in the short term, ING
ING said foreign investors were positioned for a
victory of Basescu's opponent, social democrat Mircea Geoana, and the
swift formation of a new government.
If the formation of a new
government is stalled until January next year, the volatility of the
Romanian financial markets is likely to persist, with "upside pressure
on both EUR/RON and interest rates," ING noted.
leu is likely to weaken further once the new government resumes talks
with the International Monetary Fund and the European Commission, as
the foreign institutions are likely to insist on the implementation of
"harsh and realistic" measures.
The IMF and the Commission have
delayed new tranches of a 20 billion Euro loan package to Romania until
the country has a functioning government which can produce a credible
budget for 2010.
For the first quarter of 2010, the ING expects the leu to trade around 4.5 units per euro.
addition, ING predicts that in the absence of a new government, the
central bank will leave its key rate unchanged at 8 per cent during its
next monetary policy meeting January 5.
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